tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1420149012024426620.comments2024-03-28T18:49:08.603-04:00Hot Corner HarborTheohttp://www.blogger.com/profile/07356047156527558873noreply@blogger.comBlogger250125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1420149012024426620.post-82205928363311375662024-03-28T18:49:08.603-04:002024-03-28T18:49:08.603-04:00Good job on the predictions. Hope it holds for th...Good job on the predictions. Hope it holds for this year!!!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1420149012024426620.post-22277832990221768562024-03-12T20:39:46.618-04:002024-03-12T20:39:46.618-04:00that puts 4 of the 5 guys in the "old school&...that puts 4 of the 5 guys in the "old school". Changes started right after their generation that has adversely affected all pitchers that came after them.<br /><br />Perez is the only one making your cut off, but he is very young with one good year.<br /><br />It might bode well for all the old school pitchers that should have been elected, Schilling, Tommy John, Moyer, ......Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1420149012024426620.post-40101868386016749322024-03-12T17:14:01.353-04:002024-03-12T17:14:01.353-04:00It's actually five (Verlander, Greinke, Scherz...It's actually five (Verlander, Greinke, Scherzer, Kershaw, and Eury Perez), but I'm now realizing how weird the underlined/italicized formatting looks when used in conjunction with the Baseball-Reference linker... I might need to adjust that. Theohttps://www.hotcornerharbor.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1420149012024426620.post-59033147402448443392024-03-11T22:09:23.263-04:002024-03-11T22:09:23.263-04:00It "feels like" the change to a new gene...It "feels like" the change to a new generation of pitchers affected by all these changes takes place around your age 33 or 34 years. Younger than that and they have been affected by Covid years, teams changing to less innings per game, starting them in their MLB careers later, and rule changes for pitchers. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1420149012024426620.post-18846720509619508802024-03-11T22:06:54.842-04:002024-03-11T22:06:54.842-04:00Unless I counted wrong only 3 p layers made it abo...Unless I counted wrong only 3 p layers made it above the hall median. Very scary that this is happening to pitchers as that game has changed significantly.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1420149012024426620.post-56914613883661803832024-03-11T21:26:19.313-04:002024-03-11T21:26:19.313-04:00Very disturbing that the HOF is neglecting startin...Very disturbing that the HOF is neglecting starting pitchers. Something HAS to change either in the HOF voter evaluations or the HOF itself encouraging starters to be picked.<br /><br />With the changes in recent years to make younger pitchers wait until later before getting their careers started, the teams now taking pitchers out of the game so quickly, and now with the pitch clock forcing pitchers to conform to a quicker game the pitchers will have an incredibly hard time amassing the statistics voters look for in electing pitchers to the HOF. <br /><br />The voters MUST change the parameters in some manner. I leave it up to you to help them adjust with suggestions in your future articles.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1420149012024426620.post-25152992843593705542024-03-02T04:36:59.312-05:002024-03-02T04:36:59.312-05:002CE65
paribu
kripto para telegram
bitrue
kripto pa...2CE65<br /><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZKnUqWm2EBY" rel="nofollow">paribu</a><br /><a href="https://sites.google.com/view/kripto-telegram/" rel="nofollow">kripto para telegram</a><br /><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_zUDyFkz2pM" rel="nofollow">bitrue</a><br /><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fTXjd0F2mCo" rel="nofollow">kripto para haram mı</a><br /><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=30cT3hGzzsg" rel="nofollow">binance referans kimliği nedir</a><br /><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=30cT3hGzzsg" rel="nofollow">referans kimliği</a><br /><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gmV0zesLTzw" rel="nofollow">binance 100 dolar</a><br /><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1KoWSL2SN0I" rel="nofollow">en düşük komisyonlu kripto borsası</a><br /><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BtXeZnlPxmA" rel="nofollow">kredi kartı ile kripto para alma</a><br />----takipci-satin-almahttps://www.takipcim.com.trnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1420149012024426620.post-57971713434562025342024-02-29T15:51:43.324-05:002024-02-29T15:51:43.324-05:00Not necessarily? A lot of Hall of Famers won't...Not necessarily? A lot of Hall of Famers won't debut until they're age 22 or 23 anyway, so it's a bit of a disadvantage, but nothing you can't overcome with some good seasons. Usually, they move a little quicker thru the minors too (not sure why Judge didn't, really, in retrospect; maybe concerns about his strikeout totals?)<br /><br />All that being said... sometimes the best players take some time and effort to develop, but a lot of good players were also highly sought-after right out of high school too. That describes guys like Henderson, Carroll, Harper, Machado, plus some historic examples like Mauer, A-Rod, Chipper Jones, Ken Griffey Jr, Derek Jeter... I don't know if there's an easy way to compare numbers on college vs. non-college (or success rates on either), but neither route to the Hall is unheard of.Theohttps://www.hotcornerharbor.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1420149012024426620.post-83460430488419135382024-02-29T08:58:03.638-05:002024-02-29T08:58:03.638-05:00So does going to college hurt one's chances fo...So does going to college hurt one's chances for a HOF run?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1420149012024426620.post-12021759661364514332024-02-28T23:09:27.900-05:002024-02-28T23:09:27.900-05:00RE: Judge versus Trout, it was actually only about...RE: Judge versus Trout, it was actually only about one extra year in the minors. The biggest differences are mostly draft-related, namely 1) the birthday thing again, Trout is an August 1991 birthday and was eligible for the 2009 draft, Judge is an April '92, so he needed to wait until 2010; and 2) Trout was already seen as a top prospect in 2009 and went in the first round, while Judge was not. He went in the 31st round (to local Oakland at that, so they probably had more scouts in the area), and decided to instead attend Cal State-Fresno (which is where I first saw him, playing in the Cape Cod collegiate summer league: http://www.hotcornerharbor.com/2012/08/2012-cape-cod-league-standouts-brewster-whitecaps.html) and thus, had to wait three more years.<br /><br />2) Votto is... looking his age, unfortunately. Can't speak to the scouting side as much, but both Fangraphs and Baseball-Reference have him in the 0 to -1.0 WAR range for the last two seasons. He might still be able to hit okay, but being limited to just 1B or DH doesn't help him. Maybe someone like the Angels or Mets would go for him in a part-time role?Theohttp://www.hotcornerharbor.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1420149012024426620.post-22843905929542836552024-02-28T09:51:38.773-05:002024-02-28T09:51:38.773-05:00Final comments:
Bad juju for Altuve. That injury...Final comments:<br />Bad juju for Altuve. That injury never should have happened but hopefully he will bounce back and get above the median.<br /><br />I think Judge will continue to be stronger for the next few years and make up the difference from starting in the majors so late. Why did it take the Yankees so long to bring him up in the first place????<br /><br />I'd love to see McCutheon have a couple more good years. Love his attitude and effort. He is getting older but it would be very nice to see him rebound for a few more years.<br /><br />Why hasn't anybody scooped up Votto? What has his WAR looked like the past few years?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1420149012024426620.post-13488779774658919732024-02-28T09:48:53.109-05:002024-02-28T09:48:53.109-05:00Trout was on a pace to join the elite guys in the ...Trout was on a pace to join the elite guys in the history of baseball, Mays, Bonds, Ruth until all the injuries. He still has 9 years left if he can stay healthy, but the Angels sure could use some help around him. With the loss of Otani it may be harder for him to rack up WAR.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1420149012024426620.post-30032754318826192202024-02-28T09:46:15.465-05:002024-02-28T09:46:15.465-05:00Very interesting age 30 group. Particularly your...Very interesting age 30 group. Particularly your comments about Trea Turner. If you read Malcom Gladwell's book "Outliers" he devotes his entire first chapter to the same age issue you describe about an athlete's birthday in relation to the sports cutoff dates. In his case it is Canadian hockey players, but the same theory is true for baseball players. Very few players that are born at the end of the year just before the cutoff make it to a career in the big leagues.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1420149012024426620.post-87395866850539785462024-02-28T09:41:40.777-05:002024-02-28T09:41:40.777-05:00Wait Bryce Harper is 18 points behind Mookie Betts...Wait Bryce Harper is 18 points behind Mookie Betts?? Seriously!! Wow that is a huge surprise to see they are the same age and yet Mookie is rated so much higher in terms of WAR! I know he is good but that really puts his performance into perspective! Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1420149012024426620.post-64337509345591372382024-02-28T01:02:32.319-05:002024-02-28T01:02:32.319-05:00Not sure how they view each other? They're kin...Not sure how they view each other? They're kind of spread out (one in the East and West for each league). If they're grouped with any other young players, it's probably Harris and Henderson being grouped with the rest of their young teammates, since the Braves and Orioles have done so well on that front lately; I'd have to imagine those comparisons probably help them, though.Theohttp://www.hotcornerharbor.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1420149012024426620.post-66905058019724419282024-02-28T00:58:17.433-05:002024-02-28T00:58:17.433-05:00Soto is kind of just a confluence of bad timing. H...Soto is kind of just a confluence of bad timing. He made the majors young enough that he's hitting free agency right at his peak, and he's going for a big contract. The Nationals decided to go for a hard rebuild and didn't see a reason to hold on to him for two and a half more years if he was just going to go to free agency; the Padres took him and might have given him another one of those big deals they've been handing out, but ended up going through a financial crisis this winter (their TV partner went bankrupt and left their deal, and their owner who had been underwriting the spending passed away), and trading him was the easiest way to free up a lot of money at once. He seems pretty committed to testing the market at this point with just one year left, plus no one seems to know if the Yankees are willing to sign him long-term given that they have both Judge and Stanton already on big deals (not to mention that the Steinbrenner children seem less keen on spending than their dad did). Theohttp://www.hotcornerharbor.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1420149012024426620.post-33037525149883355882024-02-28T00:51:01.193-05:002024-02-28T00:51:01.193-05:00Yes and no? On the one hand, the chunk of the elec...Yes and no? On the one hand, the chunk of the electorate that heavily weighs individual achievements over team success is growing, and will likely continue to do so leading up to Correa hitting the ballot in the 2030s. But among the writers who do heavily weight team-based things... he was probably already going to be marked down less? He's a shortstop, and those are already judged less by things like RBI (at least among more traditional voters); if he had been a 1B and his numbers declined, maybe that narrative would be more prevalent. <br /><br />The bigger thing might be playoff stuff? He already has some postseason success to ward off the biggest sticklers on that front, but I also imagine the Twins will be going to the playoffs anyway over the course of his contract (their front office is doing some interesting things, plus playing in the AL Central leaves them an easy opening even in tougher years). Plus staying in Houston wouldn't necessarily have guaranteed more opportunities in the long-haul (who knows where each team will be in three or four years), even if their a little stronger out of the gate. For the Hall ballot, I think the biggest factor is not being a total non-factor in October, and I think Correa has that covered.<br /><br />ALL THAT SAID: moving teams *does* actually affect him in a different way. Basically every other bit of research we have says that guys get a little bit of a boost from mostly sticking with one team, or not neatly splitting their career into "halves". Some voters will wind up thinking of it as "he was pretty good for 8 years in Place A, and pretty good for 7 years in Place B" rather than "he was really good over 15 years!". Plus, the easier you make it to divide your career into "was good, then suddenly wasn't", the more risk there is in voters applying that narrative and weighing it against you. Granted, Correa is also young enough that if everything he does post-Astros is bad... he probably doesn't wind up with a Hall of Fame career anyway? Or if he does, the rapid drop-off will hurt him as much as anything (see: Andruw Jones, although he's slowly overcoming that). Also, sticking with one team might help a little bit, but it's also not necessarily a defining factor for a candidate (just look at, say, Alan Trammell getting ignored for 15+ years). <br /><br />There probably is a risk in Correa falling into a zone similar to, say, Bobby Grich and getting snubbed (at a cursory look, he's not too far off from Grich career-wise: about 3 WAR difference over their career thru age 28, they moved teams around the same time, one has 3 ASG the other has 2 ASG plus a ROTY...), but I also feel like a modern-day-Bobby Grich would do better on today's ballot than actual Bobby Grich did back in 1992, since we can better appreciate the combo of OBP/power/up-the-middle defense... Theohttp://www.hotcornerharbor.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1420149012024426620.post-90210359206755274712024-02-27T22:14:21.316-05:002024-02-27T22:14:21.316-05:00Shohei once again proves he is in a category all b...Shohei once again proves he is in a category all by himself!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1420149012024426620.post-46558330686704657432024-02-27T21:56:08.993-05:002024-02-27T21:56:08.993-05:00Your discussion on Carlos Correa brings up an inte...Your discussion on Carlos Correa brings up an interesting point. Do you think his move to Minnesota has hurt his chances? When he was in Houston he was surrounded by excellent players and always had chances to drive in runs because it seems that Altuve, or Bregman, or others were always on base when he came up to bat. I know that's not the main way to accrete WAR but it certainly helps to be on a team like that. I don't think he has had the same situation in Minnesota and the numbers seem to correlate to his decline in WAR. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1420149012024426620.post-49390581965253812212024-02-27T21:51:31.637-05:002024-02-27T21:51:31.637-05:00Hard to believe Juan Soto is only 24! Why do team...Hard to believe Juan Soto is only 24! Why do teams keep trading him? Is his ego too big for the teams?<br /><br />And it looks like Acuna is off to an awesome startAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1420149012024426620.post-8690053457725726562024-02-27T21:43:46.821-05:002024-02-27T21:43:46.821-05:00Some very interesting notes and questions for you....Some very interesting notes and questions for you.<br /><br />The age 22 bracket was most interesting with 4 Rookie of the Years in back to back years making the grade already. <br /><br />Do you think they are aware of their successes and competing with, or pushing each other in some sort of competition for their age group making them all better?<br /><br />And I guess I missed the whole criminal issue(s) with Wander Franco. Thanks for making me aware of it. No matter how good MLB doesn't need that influence in the league.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1420149012024426620.post-45830097170741791392024-02-27T21:39:39.379-05:002024-02-27T21:39:39.379-05:00Very cool analysis! Congrats on surpassing ten ye...Very cool analysis! Congrats on surpassing ten years with this and actually seeing your work be proven correct in a number of cases already. There will be more for sure!<br /><br />ESPN should be hiring you!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1420149012024426620.post-80186207836101584102024-01-23T22:00:10.393-05:002024-01-23T22:00:10.393-05:00Love the summary and the fact that three worthy ca...Love the summary and the fact that three worthy candidates got elected. I just wish the writers were as worthy as the players. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1420149012024426620.post-21405735816961282172023-12-14T15:08:08.006-05:002023-12-14T15:08:08.006-05:00Tommy Hunter has officially announced his retireme...Tommy Hunter has officially announced his retirement, meaning we are now under 20 players. https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2023/12/tommy-hunter-officially-retires.htmlTheohttp://www.hotcornerharbor.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1420149012024426620.post-83376865676581650372023-12-04T12:17:21.086-05:002023-12-04T12:17:21.086-05:00Great article.
the best comment
"This is es...Great article. <br />the best comment<br />"This is especially vital while some of these men are still alive, albeit up there in age! It would be amazing if they could get inducted while they’re actually alive to enjoy it!"<br />The Baseball HOF doesn't seem to like to honor many while they are alive! Unlike other professional sports they are too selective. I would like to see a HOF not operated by a media sponsered group. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com